In response to my claim that Joe Dumars has made no significantly good moves in the last 5 years, Dumars supporters have little ammunition. One of their few plausible arguments:
“Rodney Stuckey was a good pick at 15.”But was this really a good pick?
Looking back at the 2007 draft there are 8 quality NBA starters that would be universally selected above Stuckey. If you redid the top 8 picks they would look something like:
1. Durant
2. Horford
3. Noah
4. Oden
5. Green
6. Landry
7. Brooks
8. Gasol
After that it gets pretty jumbled. For any of these next 8 guys, one could make the argument that they're more or less valuable than Stuckey:
Conley
Jianlian
Brewer
Thornton
Chandler
Fernandez
Afflalo
Sessions
With the exception of Rudy Fernandez, each player is or has started on bad teams and shown flashes of excellence as well some big flaws. Afflalo is now starting (though not finishing) games for a championship caliber team, and Fernandez is a backup to Brandon Roy.
Then, there are 6 other guys who still have promising talent and might be better players in the end:
Hawes
J.Wright
N.Young
B.Wright
T.Young
Splitter
So, after the top 8, there’s a big jumbled mess of 15 players in which Stuckey belongs. If you put him in the middle – that’s right at #15, where he went. If you like Stuckey better than most of those guys (I probably do) he was a good pick.
At best, Stuckey would have gone 9th, which isn’t a major steal.
Conclusion: He went about where he should.
Aaron Afflalo WAS a major steal however. That’s the pick Dumars fans should be pointing to. But of course, they can't, because Dumars gave him away for nothing…
The Stucky pick wasn’t bad, but it wasn’t significantly good either. Building the team around him appears very dubious. The funny thing is, even if you call the Stuckey pick a success, you remember that this Detroit team was good in 06-07 and had no business drafting so close to the lottery. How’d they get the #15 pick from Orlando? The answer brings up Dumars’ biggest blunder: Darko Milicic.
Oh course, Joe D fans will say he was wise to cut ties with Darko and this move goes to his credit. Sigh. Fire Joe Dumars!