Here are my opinions, views, and predictions:
Round 1Cleveland beats Detroit in 4.
Not even that interested. I’m still mad at the Pistons for losing to Chicago like that. Of course, if they win one of the first 2 games, I’ll instantly be living and dying with game 3 (only to have my heart ripped out by Lebron and referees, I’m sure). I see no way they win this series. I’m just hoping to see something that removes the bad taste from such a disappointing regular season. Give me something, even if its impressive bench play or making it hard on Lebron.
Celtics over Philly in 5.
KG is resting more than hurting. Marbury seems like a solid backup and seems driven.
Chicago over Orlando in 7.
Hedo is hurting more than resting. Rafer didn’t make Orlando better. Chicago is hot and has a really ideal 8-man rotation going. Brad Miller is having a good effect on that team and Salmons gives them 3 excellent scorers (with Gordan and Rose). I love the Miller/Hinrich/Tim Thomas bench and what a change of pace it is from the starters. They are a team that has two of my underrated factors to winning: guys who know/accept/stick-to their role and ability to keep their opponents on their toes with lineup changes (how would you like to establish a rhythm being guarded by alternatively, Brad Miller, Tyrus Thomas, and Joakim Noah). Howard is a given, but as much respect as I have for Rashard Lewis, I don’t think he’s good enough to carry Orlando past a talented, hot, motivated, and well-constructed team.
Atlanta over Miami in 6.
Horford is coming around. J. Oneal is not. DWade wins them 2 games, but no more.
Round 2:Cleveland over Atlanta in 6.
As for Boston last year, I think the Hawks may prove to be the toughest test of the playoffs for (spoiler alert) the eventual champ. Josh Smith/Lebron should be a fun matchup to watch. Losing Marvin Williams kills them though. I think they’re missing the elite PF needed to beat Cleveland.
Boston over Chicago in 5.
Boston too good on D for what is ultimately still a 500 team.
Eastern FinalsCleveland over Boston in 6.
While I still think Pierce can play Lebron to a near draw I think a few things have changed that put Cleveland over the top.
1. Lebron is better.
2. KG and Ray Allen are not.
3. Delonte West and Mo Williams are major upgrades that push Gibson and Pavlovic/Szerbiak into role player status.
4. P.J Brown and Posey are major loses that Marbury doesn’t make up for.
5. Homecourt.
My only concern with the Cavs is Ben Wallace’s health, but Smith is a competent replacement.
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Interlude:
I'll be happy when this happens because I'd much rather see a Lebron lovefest than another KG lovefest. Lebron seems more genuine, more likable, and less insecure. Plus I can keep talking about how the Pistons lost to the NBA champs for the the 4th time in the last 5 years (05 Spurs, 06 Heat, 08 Celtics, 09 Cavs) with only the 07 Cavs failing to pull out a title. They are indeed the Buffalo Bills of the NBA - but with the '04 title to hang their hat on. I mean this comparison as a compliment of sustained excellence. Too bad it appears over...
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So there you have it. One token upset followed by the favorites winning out. I might have to agree with SZ’s opinion that the East should just move on to Round 2.
West predictions coming later in the week. Those should actually be interesting since the outcomes are so dependent on matchups. I have no idea what to predict in that conference but be assured I will have formed strong opinions once we know who plays who. For example: Lakers will kill the Jazz, who are (reportedly) falling apart on every level. Another bold pick!
While I’m here I’ll just go ahead and guess at your predictions to save you the trouble:
Joker: Hawks over Pistons, Sixers over Bulls: Champ: Atl.
JGW: Vegas favorites win.
MT: Blazers win the east.
SZ: The East doesn’t matter besides Rafer.
Advisor: Why didn’t anyone tell me the NBA season started?
I’m not sure about the rest of you though. Revisions and retorts welcome.